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loginModeling Hydrologic Change: Statistical Methods is about modeling systems wherechange has affected data that will be used to calibrate and test models of the systemsand where models will be used to forecast system responses after change occurs.The focus is not on the hydrology. Instead, hydrology serves as the discipline fromwhich the applications are drawn to illustrate the principles of modeling and thedetection of change. All four elements of the modeling process are discussed:conceptualization, formulation, calibration, and verification. Analysis and synthesisare discussed in order to enable both model builders and users to appreciate theimportance of both aspects of modeling. The book also focuses on the art and scienceof modeling.